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Quick Summer Weather Outlook for the United States

June 18, 2026 · The Clime Team
Quick Summer Weather Outlook for the United States

As summer approaches, understanding the anticipated weather patterns can help you plan your activities and stay prepared. Here's a quick outlook for the United States for the summer of 2026.

Temperature Forecast

The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has released its seasonal outlook for May-June-July (MJJ) 2026. The forecast indicates a high probability of above-normal temperatures across much of the contiguous United States, with the highest probabilities (60-70%) in the northern and central Great Basin and Rockies. However, parts of the northern Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley, and Great Lakes region are expected to experience near-normal temperatures. (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov)

Precipitation Outlook

The CPC also forecasts below-normal precipitation for areas including the Pacific Northwest, northern and central Intermountain West, and parts of the central Great Plains. Conversely, above-normal precipitation is expected for most of western Alaska, the Lower Four Corners region, and the Atlantic Coast states into the eastern Gulf region. (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov)

Regional Highlights

  • Colorado: After a dry and warm winter, Colorado is anticipating a hotter and wetter summer. The state is expected to experience increased monsoon activity, leading to more thunderstorms, especially in late summer. (cpr.org)

  • Texas: The transition to El Niño conditions is likely to bring higher temperatures to Texas during the summer months. Residents should prepare for increased heat risks. (wattkarma.com)

Stay Prepared

Given the anticipated above-normal temperatures and varying precipitation patterns, it's advisable to stay informed about local weather updates. Utilizing reliable weather forecasting tools can provide timely and accurate information to help you plan your summer activities effectively.

Highlights:

  • A seasonal outlook forecasts a hotter and wetter summer across Colorado, Published on Sunday, May 31
  • El Niño Summer 2026: NOAA Outlook for Texas Heat Risk · WattKarma

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